Selected article for: "current trend and epidemic model"

Author: Xiaolin Zhu; Aiyin Zhang; Shuai Xu; Pengfei Jia; Xiaoyue Tan; Jiaqi Tian; Tao Wei; Zhenxian Quan; Jiali Yu
Title: Spatially Explicit Modeling of 2019-nCoV Epidemic Trend based on Mobile Phone Data in Mainland China
  • Document date: 2020_2_11
  • ID: 6u9q0ox9_3
    Snippet: To model the updated fine-scale epidemic dynamics of all individual cities in mainland China, we proposed a spatially explicit approach. We first used mobile phone data to obtain the number of people who traveled from Wuhan to each individual city. Then we developed a new epidemiological model based the classic Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model to fit the dynamics of 2019-nCoV at the city level. Finally, we used this model to predict t.....
    Document: To model the updated fine-scale epidemic dynamics of all individual cities in mainland China, we proposed a spatially explicit approach. We first used mobile phone data to obtain the number of people who traveled from Wuhan to each individual city. Then we developed a new epidemiological model based the classic Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model to fit the dynamics of 2019-nCoV at the city level. Finally, we used this model to predict the trend under three possible scenarios: the current trend maintained, control efforts expanded, and person-toperson contact increased due to work/school resuming.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • city level and current trend: 1
    • city level and epidemic dynamic: 1, 2
    • city level and epidemiological model: 1, 2
    • city level and fine scale: 1
    • city level and individual city: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • city level and mobile phone: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
    • control effort and current trend: 1, 2, 3
    • control effort and epidemic dynamic: 1
    • control effort and fine scale: 1
    • control effort and mobile phone: 1, 2
    • current trend and epidemic dynamic: 1
    • current trend and epidemiological model: 1, 2
    • current trend and mobile phone: 1
    • dynamic fit and epidemic dynamic: 1
    • epidemiological model and individual city: 1
    • epidemiological model and mobile phone: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • fine scale and individual city: 1
    • fine scale and mobile phone: 1
    • individual city and mainland China individual city: 1