Author: Mark J Siedner; Guy Harling; Zahra Reynolds; Rebecca F Gilbert; Atheendar Venkataramani; Alexander C Tsai
Title: Social distancing to slow the U.S. COVID-19 epidemic: an interrupted time-series analysis Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: ls408b2b_13
Snippet: As of March 30, 30 states (59%) had implemented a statewide restriction on internal movement, a median of 10 days after the first statewide social distancing measure (IQR 8-12) was implemented in the respective states, when the median epidemic size was 415 cases (IQR, 147-1172). The mean daily case growth rate had already been declining at a mean rate of -0.9% per day during the 14 days prior to implementation of statewide restrictions on interna.....
Document: As of March 30, 30 states (59%) had implemented a statewide restriction on internal movement, a median of 10 days after the first statewide social distancing measure (IQR 8-12) was implemented in the respective states, when the median epidemic size was 415 cases (IQR, 147-1172). The mean daily case growth rate had already been declining at a mean rate of -0.9% per day during the 14 days prior to implementation of statewide restrictions on internal movement (95% CI, -1.1% to -0.6%; P<0.001) (Table 1, Figure 1B) . There was no additional decline in mean daily case growth after implementation of statewide restrictions on internal movement (0.3%; 95% CI, -1.4% to 2.0%; P=0.72).
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