Author: Igor Nesteruk
Title: Statistics based predictions of coronavirus 2019-nCoV spreading in mainland China Document date: 2020_2_13
ID: bhm2un6v_2
Snippet: In this study, we use the known SIR model for the dynamics of an epidemic [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] To the parameter identification, we will use the exact solution of the SIR set of linear equations and statistical approach developed in [4] . These methods were applied for investigation of the children disease, which occurred in Chernivtsi (Ukraine) in 1988-1989. We will estimate some of the epidemic characteristics and present the most reliable depend.....
Document: In this study, we use the known SIR model for the dynamics of an epidemic [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] To the parameter identification, we will use the exact solution of the SIR set of linear equations and statistical approach developed in [4] . These methods were applied for investigation of the children disease, which occurred in Chernivtsi (Ukraine) in 1988-1989. We will estimate some of the epidemic characteristics and present the most reliable dependences for victim numbers, infected and removed persons versus time.
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