Selected article for: "peak number and total number"
Author: Nicholas G Davies; Petra Klepac; Yang Liu; Kiesha Prem; Mark Jit; Rosalind M Eggo
Title: Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of COVID-19 epidemics
  • Document date: 2020_3_27
    • ID: 8f76vhyz_24
    Snippet: The age-specific distribution of subclinical infection we have found is similar in shape (but larger in scale) to that generally assumed for pandemic influenza. However, for the 2009 influenza A/H1N1p pandemic, the age-specific susceptibility to infection was lower in older individuals compared to COVID-19. These differences have a large effect on how effective school closures may be in limiting transmission, delaying the peak of expected cases, .....
    Document: The age-specific distribution of subclinical infection we have found is similar in shape (but larger in scale) to that generally assumed for pandemic influenza. However, for the 2009 influenza A/H1N1p pandemic, the age-specific susceptibility to infection was lower in older individuals compared to COVID-19. These differences have a large effect on how effective school closures may be in limiting transmission, delaying the peak of expected cases, and decreasing the total and peak number of cases. For COVID-19, school closures are likely to be much less effective than for influenza-like infections where children play a more substantial role in transmission.

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