Author: Alex James; Shaun C Hendy; Michael J Plank; Nicholas Steyn
Title: Suppression and Mitigation Strategies for Control of COVID-19 in New Zealand Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: gc5ieskk_11
Snippet: An uncontrolled epidemic is expected to overwhelm hospital capacity by a factor of more than 10. Of the control scenarios, (i)-(iii) reduce the magnitude of the peak but do not succeed in suppressing the epidemic. Hospital capacity is still exceeded by a factor of at least 6. Scenarios (iv) and (v) successfully suppress the spread for the period of 400 days in which they were applied. However, when controls are lifted after 400 days, an outbreak .....
Document: An uncontrolled epidemic is expected to overwhelm hospital capacity by a factor of more than 10. Of the control scenarios, (i)-(iii) reduce the magnitude of the peak but do not succeed in suppressing the epidemic. Hospital capacity is still exceeded by a factor of at least 6. Scenarios (iv) and (v) successfully suppress the spread for the period of 400 days in which they were applied. However, when controls are lifted after 400 days, an outbreak occurs with a similar peak size as for an uncontrolled epidemic. In other words, these strategies can delay but not prevent the epidemic. Table 2 shows the effect of each scenario on the size of the peak and the total number of infections and fatalities. . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- cc NC ND International license and hospital capacity: 1, 2
- cc NC ND International license and International license: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- cc NC ND International license and peak magnitude: 1
- cc NC ND International license and peak size: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- cc NC ND International license and total number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- control scenario and hospital capacity: 1
- control scenario and International license: 1, 2
- control scenario and peak magnitude: 1
- control scenario and scenario effect: 1, 2, 3
- control scenario and total number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- epidemic prevent and fatality infection: 1, 2
- epidemic prevent and hospital capacity: 1
- epidemic prevent and International license: 1
- epidemic prevent and peak size: 1
- epidemic prevent and total number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- epidemic suppress and hospital capacity: 1, 2
- epidemic suppress and total number: 1
- fatality infection and peak size: 1
- fatality infection and scenario effect: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date