Author: Ralf Engbert; Maximilian M. Rabe; Reinhold Kliegl; Sebastian Reich
Title: Sequential data assimilation of the stochastic SEIR epidemic model for regional COVID-19 dynamics Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 855am0mv_41
Snippet: i.e., H = (0, 0, 1, 1). As initial condition, we set I 1 as the number of infected cases, R 1 = 0, so that y obs (t 0 ) = I 1 +R 1 , and E 1 = g/a·I 1 with additive noise. We assume that the errors in the observed y obs (t k ) is additive Gaussian with mean zero and variance Ï. We set Ï = 10 in our experiments. The analysis step of the ensemble Kalman filter is now based on the empirical mean.....
Document: i.e., H = (0, 0, 1, 1). As initial condition, we set I 1 as the number of infected cases, R 1 = 0, so that y obs (t 0 ) = I 1 +R 1 , and E 1 = g/a·I 1 with additive noise. We assume that the errors in the observed y obs (t k ) is additive Gaussian with mean zero and variance Ï. We set Ï = 10 in our experiments. The analysis step of the ensemble Kalman filter is now based on the empirical mean
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