Author: Julien Riou; Anthony Hauser; Michel J Counotte; Christian L Althaus
Title: Adjusted age-specific case fatality ratio during the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China, January and February 2020 Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: mrsya6wz_12
Snippet: We used an age-stratified susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) compartmental model, with a distinction between incubating, asymptomatic and symptomatic infections. We stratified the population into nine 10-year groups (0-9 up to 80+ years). We assumed that susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 and the risk of acquisition per contact is identical for each age class. We used age-specific contact matrices for each country to model contact patterns acc.....
Document: We used an age-stratified susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) compartmental model, with a distinction between incubating, asymptomatic and symptomatic infections. We stratified the population into nine 10-year groups (0-9 up to 80+ years). We assumed that susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 and the risk of acquisition per contact is identical for each age class. We used age-specific contact matrices for each country to model contact patterns according to age class. In addition, we modelled the decrease in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 due to the progressive implementation of control measures in Hubei from 20 January by using a logistic function for the transmission rate. In northern Italy we did not include the effect of control measures.
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