Author: Julien Riou; Anthony Hauser; Michel J Counotte; Christian L Althaus
Title: Adjusted age-specific case fatality ratio during the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China, January and February 2020 Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: mrsya6wz_14
Snippet: The SEIR model was used to compute the number of symptomatic and asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections by day of disease onset in each age class. We then used an age-specific ascertainment proportion to estimate the cumulative number of symptomatic infections reported as Covid-19 cases. To identify the parameters, we assumed that all infected patients aged 80 years and older were reported. We assumed that mortality only occurred in symptomatic peopl.....
Document: The SEIR model was used to compute the number of symptomatic and asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections by day of disease onset in each age class. We then used an age-specific ascertainment proportion to estimate the cumulative number of symptomatic infections reported as Covid-19 cases. To identify the parameters, we assumed that all infected patients aged 80 years and older were reported. We assumed that mortality only occurred in symptomatic people, and that the time from disease onset to death followed a log-normal distribution with mean 20.2 days and standard deviation 11.6 [21] . This allowed us to account for the deaths occurring after the date of data collection (11 February for Hubei, 3 March for northern Italy).
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