A Comprehensive Analysis of COVID-19 Outbreak situation in India

Rajan Gupta; Saibal Kumar Pal; Gaurav Pandey

The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.08.20058347 doi: medRxiv preprint mation of clusters in the whole country as many people who attended this event went to different parts of the country without following any rules of getting quarantined. Some of them who came from out of India to attend this event did not follow rules and advisories issued regarding COVID-19 protection. This resulted in a sharp spike in the number of infected cases after 31 st March 2020. As per the Figure 7 , at least 36% of the total infected cases reported on 6 th April 2020 were linked to the religious event in Delhi [28] . Out of over 4000 cases reported, a minimum of 1445 cases were suspected to be due to the religious event in Delhi. This event took the graph sky high in a week's time with growth slowly moving towards exponential path and India entering into the third phase of community transmission for COVID-19 virus. Many regions of India which were totally isolated with the infection of Corona Virus, also reported their first case in the first 3-4 days of the conduction of the event. Therefore, it can be said that religious event that happened in Delhi has really pushed the bars high for the number of infected cases from coronavirus in India. It has far more serious consequences than it seems right now and authorities needs to be really alert as people linked to this event have gone back to different parts of the nation.