Author: Qihui Yang; Chunlin Yi; Aram Vajdi; Lee W Cohnstaedt; Hongyu Wu; Xiaolong Guo; Caterina M Scoglio
Title: Short-term forecasts and long-term mitigation evaluations for the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei Province, China Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: kcb68hue_66
Snippet: In this work, the ensemble Kalman filter is used to make short-term predictions of the COVID-19 cases in Wuhan City, which resulted in accurate forecasts of daily case reports. The model is able to predict daily cases and the epidemic peak. Knowing the daily cases from forecasts three days in advance allows for the proper resource allocation. The ensemble Kalman filter also allows parameter estimation, which is extremely useful for modeling purpo.....
Document: In this work, the ensemble Kalman filter is used to make short-term predictions of the COVID-19 cases in Wuhan City, which resulted in accurate forecasts of daily case reports. The model is able to predict daily cases and the epidemic peak. Knowing the daily cases from forecasts three days in advance allows for the proper resource allocation. The ensemble Kalman filter also allows parameter estimation, which is extremely useful for modeling purposes.
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