Author: Ruiyun Li; Sen Pei; Bin Chen; Yimeng Song; Tao Zhang; Wan Yang; Jeffrey Shaman
Title: Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) Document date: 2020_2_17
ID: 3nipr212_40
Snippet: (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.14.20023127 doi: medRxiv preprint Fig. 1 . Best-fit model-inference fitting ( \X] = 5000, ! = 10 days) to daily reported cases in all cities (A), Wuhan city (B) and Hubei province (C). The blue box and whiskers show the median, interquartial range, and 95% credible intervals are derived from 300 simulations using the best-fit parameters. The red.....
Document: (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.14.20023127 doi: medRxiv preprint Fig. 1 . Best-fit model-inference fitting ( \X] = 5000, ! = 10 days) to daily reported cases in all cities (A), Wuhan city (B) and Hubei province (C). The blue box and whiskers show the median, interquartial range, and 95% credible intervals are derived from 300 simulations using the best-fit parameters. The red 'x's are daily reported cases. The distribution of estimated 4 is shown in (D). Fig. 2 . Impact of undocumented infections on the transmission of COVID-19. Synthetic outbreaks generated using parameters reported in Table 1 are compared for = 0.52 (red) and = 0 (blue).
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