Selected article for: "epidemic development and model variation"
Author: Pengpeng Shi; Shengli Cao; Peihua Feng
Title: SEIR Transmission dynamics model of 2019 nCoV coronavirus with considering the weak infectious ability and changes in latency duration
  • Document date: 2020_2_20
    • ID: c800ynvc_15
    Snippet: Next, Figure 3 analyzes the effect of variation of incubation period length on the theoretical estimation. It can be seen from Fig. 3 that the peak number of infected persons in the model considering the variation of the incubation period is lower than that in the model with the constant incubation period. This corresponds to an easily understood fact. With the development of the epidemic, the length of the incubation period has shortened, which .....
    Document: Next, Figure 3 analyzes the effect of variation of incubation period length on the theoretical estimation. It can be seen from Fig. 3 that the peak number of infected persons in the model considering the variation of the incubation period is lower than that in the model with the constant incubation period. This corresponds to an easily understood fact. With the development of the epidemic, the length of the incubation period has shortened, which directly leads to the patients in the incubation period to show symptoms faster and be taken to hospital and quarantined. Therefore, the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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