Author: Ruoran Li; Caitlin Rivers; Qi Tan; Megan B Murray; Eric Toner; Marc Lipsitch
Title: The demand for inpatient and ICU beds for COVID-19 in the US: lessons from Chinese cities Document date: 2020_3_13
ID: k4l45ene_21
Snippet: The contact rate in Wuhan during the early phase of the epidemic may have been much higher than what we expect to occur in US cities because of the increased number of social contacts that occurred in Wuhan due to the Lunar New Year celebrations. If social distancing measures are effectively implemented early in US cities, the growth of the epidemic may be delayed. But it is also possible that US cities may not be able to implement the extreme so.....
Document: The contact rate in Wuhan during the early phase of the epidemic may have been much higher than what we expect to occur in US cities because of the increased number of social contacts that occurred in Wuhan due to the Lunar New Year celebrations. If social distancing measures are effectively implemented early in US cities, the growth of the epidemic may be delayed. But it is also possible that US cities may not be able to implement the extreme social distancing measures that were put into place later in the epidemic in Wuhan. Therefore, the actual number of hospital and ICU beds that will be needed over the course of a COVID-19 outbreak in a US city is impossible to estimate precisely. Our estimated capacity needs based on a "Wuhan-like" outbreak could be a benchmark for what healthcare providers would expect to see during the first three months of a local COVID-19 epidemic.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- actual number and contact rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- actual number and early phase: 1
- actual number and epidemic growth: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- actual number and ICU hospital: 1
- actual number and increase number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- capacity need and city outbreak: 1
- capacity need and early phase: 1, 2
- capacity need and epidemic early phase: 1, 2
- capacity need and ICU hospital: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- capacity need and ICU hospital bed: 1, 2, 3
- capacity need and increase number: 1, 2
- city outbreak and contact rate: 1
- city outbreak and early phase: 1, 2
- city outbreak and epidemic growth: 1
- city outbreak and ICU hospital: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- city outbreak and increase number: 1, 2
- contact rate and distancing measure: 1, 2
- contact rate and early phase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- contact rate and effectively implement: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date