Author: Jonathan Dushoff; Sang Woo Park
Title: Speed and strength of an epidemic intervention Document date: 2020_3_3
ID: fhqbw32a_2
Snippet: Much research has prioritized estimates of R, and particularly its value in a fully susceptible population, called the basic reproductive number R 0 , because R has a threshold value (i.e., R = 1) that determines whether a disease can invade, the level of equilibrium, and the effectiveness of control efforts (Anderson and May, 1991; Diekmann et al., 1990) . The insight that a case must on average cause at least one new case under good conditions .....
Document: Much research has prioritized estimates of R, and particularly its value in a fully susceptible population, called the basic reproductive number R 0 , because R has a threshold value (i.e., R = 1) that determines whether a disease can invade, the level of equilibrium, and the effectiveness of control efforts (Anderson and May, 1991; Diekmann et al., 1990) . The insight that a case must on average cause at least one new case under good conditions for a disease to persist goes back > 100 years (Ross, 1911) ; the idea of averaging by defining a 'typical' case was formalized 30 years ago (Diekmann et al., 1990) . R is also of interest because it provides a prima facie prediction about the total size of an epidemic (Anderson and May, 1991; Ma and Earn, 2006; Arino et al., 2007; Andreasen, 2011; Miller, 2012) .
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