Selected article for: "containment time and expect containment time"
Author: Ralf Engbert; Maximilian M. Rabe; Reinhold Kliegl; Sebastian Reich
Title: Sequential data assimilation of the stochastic SEIR epidemic model for regional COVID-19 dynamics
  • Document date: 2020_4_17
    • ID: 855am0mv_6
    Snippet: In the early phase of the outbreak of COVID-19 in Germany, the reported cumulative numbers of cases strongly increase (Fig. 2a,b) , however, epidemic dynamics vary on the regional level. Such spatial heterogeneity is due to different onset times of the disease in different regions, but is also enhanced by variations in the local contact parameters β. In response to containment measures, we expect β to change over time......
    Document: In the early phase of the outbreak of COVID-19 in Germany, the reported cumulative numbers of cases strongly increase (Fig. 2a,b) , however, epidemic dynamics vary on the regional level. Such spatial heterogeneity is due to different onset times of the disease in different regions, but is also enhanced by variations in the local contact parameters β. In response to containment measures, we expect β to change over time.

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