Author: Ruoran Li; Caitlin Rivers; Qi Tan; Megan B Murray; Eric Toner; Marc Lipsitch
Title: The demand for inpatient and ICU beds for COVID-19 in the US: lessons from Chinese cities Document date: 2020_3_13
ID: k4l45ene_12
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . estimated the stratum-specific critical care rate in Wuhan by assuming that the risk factor for being in critical care is the same as that for death (age and comorbidities, e.g. hypertension). 8 We estimated the probability of being in critical condition at the peak of the epidemic in each age and hypertension stratum using the COVID-19 mortality rate ratios for age and.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . estimated the stratum-specific critical care rate in Wuhan by assuming that the risk factor for being in critical care is the same as that for death (age and comorbidities, e.g. hypertension). 8 We estimated the probability of being in critical condition at the peak of the epidemic in each age and hypertension stratum using the COVID-19 mortality rate ratios for age and hypertension 8 and the proportion of Wuhan population in each stratum. The hypertension prevalence in adults in Wuhan was estimated as 25.7%, 9 and the proportion of the population aged over 65 years 14.1%. 10 We then applied these stratum-specific critical care rate to the population structures in US cities based on the crude hypertension prevalence in adults in 2017 11 and the proportion of adult population over 65 years of age in these cities. 12
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