Author: Maximilian Vierlboeck; Roshanak R Nilchiani; Christine M Edwards
Title: The Easter and Passover Blip in New York City Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 72v6qufw_50
Snippet: Our simulations have shown that increases permanently increase infection rates after subsidence by as much as 40% and higher surges, such as a return to "normal" and therefore 100% increase of the effective contact rate would increase the infection rate temporarily by over 1,000%. These effects ripple through the system and impact hospitalizations and ultimately fatalities, increasing the former by as much as 146% at the peak and the latter by as.....
Document: Our simulations have shown that increases permanently increase infection rates after subsidence by as much as 40% and higher surges, such as a return to "normal" and therefore 100% increase of the effective contact rate would increase the infection rate temporarily by over 1,000%. These effects ripple through the system and impact hospitalizations and ultimately fatalities, increasing the former by as much as 146% at the peak and the latter by as much as 106% in the worst case compared to the references without contact increases.
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