Author: Kiesha Prem; Yang Liu; Tim Russell; Adam J Kucharski; Rosalind M Eggo; Nicholas Davies; Mark Jit; Petra Klepac
Title: The effect of control strategies that reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China Document date: 2020_3_12
ID: fn9b7adi_2
Snippet: To examine how these changes in population mixing have affected the outbreak progression in Wuhan, we used synthetic location-specific contact patterns in Wuhan and adapted it in the presence of school closures, extended workplace closures, reduction in mixing in the general community. Using these matrices and the latest estimates of the epidemiological parameters of the Wuhan outbreak, 14-16 we simulated the ongoing trajectory of an outbreak in .....
Document: To examine how these changes in population mixing have affected the outbreak progression in Wuhan, we used synthetic location-specific contact patterns in Wuhan and adapted it in the presence of school closures, extended workplace closures, reduction in mixing in the general community. Using these matrices and the latest estimates of the epidemiological parameters of the Wuhan outbreak, 14-16 we simulated the ongoing trajectory of an outbreak in Wuhan using an age-structured susceptible-exposedinfectious-removed (SEIR) model 17, 18 for several social distancing measures.
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