Selected article for: "branching process and epidemic process"
Author: Billy J Quilty; Charlie Diamond; Yang Liu; Hamish Gibbs; Timothy W Russell; Christopher I Jarvis; Kiesha Prem; Carl A B Pearson; Samuel J Clifford; Stefan Flasche; Petra Klepac; Rosalind M Eggo; Mark Jit
Title: The effect of inter-city travel restrictions on geographical spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Wuhan, China
  • Document date: 2020_4_21
    • ID: 6kiv3qi5_17
    Snippet: As cases in China during the early epidemic were likely underreported (14) , we used a stochastic branching process model to simulate outbreaks in each of the four cities. Consistent with the prevalence estimates from Wuhan (8), we began simulating travel from Wuhan on 22 November 2019, and calculated incidence up to 1 March 2020. For each simulated infected arrival in each city on a given day, an independent branching process is generated, with:.....
    Document: As cases in China during the early epidemic were likely underreported (14) , we used a stochastic branching process model to simulate outbreaks in each of the four cities. Consistent with the prevalence estimates from Wuhan (8), we began simulating travel from Wuhan on 22 November 2019, and calculated incidence up to 1 March 2020. For each simulated infected arrival in each city on a given day, an independent branching process is generated, with:

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