Author: Houssein H. Ayoub; Hiam Chemaitelly; Shaheen Seedat; Ghina R. Mumtaz; Monia Makhoul; Laith J Abu-Raddad
Title: Age could be driving variable SARS-CoV-2 epidemic trajectories worldwide Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 9huyb4cs_6
Snippet: We adapted and applied our recently developed deterministic mathematical model [4] describing SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in China (Supplementary Figure S3) , to 159 countries and territories, virtually covering the world population [14] . Since our focus was on investigating the natural course of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and on assessing its full epidemic potential, the model was applied assuming the worst-case scenario for the epidemic in e.....
Document: We adapted and applied our recently developed deterministic mathematical model [4] describing SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in China (Supplementary Figure S3) , to 159 countries and territories, virtually covering the world population [14] . Since our focus was on investigating the natural course of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and on assessing its full epidemic potential, the model was applied assuming the worst-case scenario for the epidemic in each country, that is in absence of any intervention.
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