Author: Marina Voinson; Alexandra Alvergne; Sylvain Billiard; Charline Smadi
Title: Stochastic dynamics of an epidemics with recurrent spillovers from an endemic reservoir Document date: 2017_11_3
ID: b2f3a8un_25
Snippet: When the spillover transmission is fixed and small, the mean number of outbreaks computed with the branching process is a good approximation compared R 0 > 1, the probability to have one large outbreak is high. Hence we make the approximation that one large outbreak occurs during the epidemic, and the total number of outbreaks (O total (N, β, γ)) can be approximated by:.....
Document: When the spillover transmission is fixed and small, the mean number of outbreaks computed with the branching process is a good approximation compared R 0 > 1, the probability to have one large outbreak is high. Hence we make the approximation that one large outbreak occurs during the epidemic, and the total number of outbreaks (O total (N, β, γ)) can be approximated by:
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