Author: Matteo Chinazzi; Jessica T. Davis; Marco Ajelli; Corrado Gioannini; Maria Litvinova; Stefano Merler; Ana Pastore y Piontti; Luca Rossi; Kaiyuan Sun; Cécile Viboud; Xinyue Xiong; Hongjie Yu; M. Elizabeth Halloran; Ira M. Longini; Alessandro Vespignani
Title: The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak Document date: 2020_2_11
ID: f87h5qh6_1
Snippet: Starting in December 2019, Chinese health authorities have been closely monitoring a cluster of pneumonia cases in the city of Wuhan, in Hubei province. It has been determined that the pathogen causing the viral pneumonia among affected individuals is a new coronavirus (2019-nCoV) (1) . As of February 7th, 2020, a total of 31,213(2) cases have been detected and confirmed in Mainland China. Internationally, there are more than 200 additional cases.....
Document: Starting in December 2019, Chinese health authorities have been closely monitoring a cluster of pneumonia cases in the city of Wuhan, in Hubei province. It has been determined that the pathogen causing the viral pneumonia among affected individuals is a new coronavirus (2019-nCoV) (1) . As of February 7th, 2020, a total of 31,213(2) cases have been detected and confirmed in Mainland China. Internationally, there are more than 200 additional cases detected and confirmed in 23 countries (3) . In this work we model both the domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV epidemic. We estimate the effects of the travel ban implemented in Wuhan and the international travel restrictions adopted by a number of countries in early February, 2020.
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