Author: Alastair D Jamieson-Lane; Eric Cytrnbaum
Title: The Effectiveness of Targeted Quarantine for Minimising Impact of COVID-19 Document date: 2020_4_3
ID: jnz5by5w_13
Snippet: Similar strategies were alluded to by Ferguson et al [1] , who advised social distancing for those over the age of 70, and investigated explicitly by Chikina & Pegden [6] , who completed a comprehensive sensitivity analysis suggesting a significant reduction in mortality for a wide range of parameters. Both papers however, proposed a fixed age of division (70 and 65 years of age, respectively), and explored what might be considered reasonable par.....
Document: Similar strategies were alluded to by Ferguson et al [1] , who advised social distancing for those over the age of 70, and investigated explicitly by Chikina & Pegden [6] , who completed a comprehensive sensitivity analysis suggesting a significant reduction in mortality for a wide range of parameters. Both papers however, proposed a fixed age of division (70 and 65 years of age, respectively), and explored what might be considered reasonable parameter ranges in terms of levels of isolation possible, predicting, even in their most optimistic estimates, hundreds of thousands of fatalities. There is, however, no reason to restrict the targeted quarantine threshold to 65 or 70 years of age, and, as we shall show, lowering this age threshold to 50 can reduce fatalities substantially.
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