Author: Kiesha Prem; Yang Liu; Tim Russell; Adam J Kucharski; Rosalind M Eggo; Nicholas Davies; Mark Jit; Petra Klepac
Title: The effect of control strategies that reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China Document date: 2020_3_12
ID: fn9b7adi_8
Snippet: Where is the transmission rate (scaled to the right value of + ), C !,& describe the contacts of age group made by age group , = 1 − exp (−1/ , ) is the daily probability of exposed individual becoming infectious (with , being the average incubation period), and = 1 − exp (−1/ -) is the daily probability that an infected individual recovers when the average duration of infection is -. We further incorporated contributions of asymptomatic .....
Document: Where is the transmission rate (scaled to the right value of + ), C !,& describe the contacts of age group made by age group , = 1 − exp (−1/ , ) is the daily probability of exposed individual becoming infectious (with , being the average incubation period), and = 1 − exp (−1/ -) is the daily probability that an infected individual recovers when the average duration of infection is -. We further incorporated contributions of asymptomatic and subclinical cases, 1 − ! denotes the probability of an infected cases being asymptomatic or subclinical. We assumed that younger individuals are more likely to be asymptomatic (or subclinical) and less infectious (proportion of infectiousness compared to ' , ).
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