Author: Ashleigh Tuite; David N Fisman; Amy L Greer
Title: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission and mitigation strategies in the population of Ontario, Canada Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: e4pr78n0_40
Snippet: Nonetheless, the qualitative insights around the role of social distancing, the relatively long intervention durations required to bend the epidemic curve, and the potential use of cyclic interventions can be used to policy-makers and decision makers, along with emerging empirical evidence from other countries, to consider the best approaches for epidemic control over the coming months. Lastly, we have not modeled the fact that that abrupt surges.....
Document: Nonetheless, the qualitative insights around the role of social distancing, the relatively long intervention durations required to bend the epidemic curve, and the potential use of cyclic interventions can be used to policy-makers and decision makers, along with emerging empirical evidence from other countries, to consider the best approaches for epidemic control over the coming months. Lastly, we have not modeled the fact that that abrupt surges in death resulting from full ICUs would, result in lower demands for ICU beds. Our goal here is to inform policy so that such outcomes are avoided to the extent possible.
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