Author: Billy J Quilty; Charlie Diamond; Yang Liu; Hamish Gibbs; Timothy W Russell; Christopher I Jarvis; Kiesha Prem; Carl A B Pearson; Samuel J Clifford; Stefan Flasche; Petra Klepac; Rosalind M Eggo; Mark Jit
Title: The effect of inter-city travel restrictions on geographical spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Wuhan, China Document date: 2020_4_21
ID: 6kiv3qi5_40
Snippet: By using publicly available mobility data to model the spread of the outbreak from Wuhan to other large population centres in China, we find that infected travellers from Wuhan likely led to local transmission in other major Chinese cities weeks before the cordon sanitaire. Cities with more travellers from Wuhan likely experienced higher incidence sooner. Modelling the trajectory of the outbreaks up to 1 March, in scenarios with and without the e.....
Document: By using publicly available mobility data to model the spread of the outbreak from Wuhan to other large population centres in China, we find that infected travellers from Wuhan likely led to local transmission in other major Chinese cities weeks before the cordon sanitaire. Cities with more travellers from Wuhan likely experienced higher incidence sooner. Modelling the trajectory of the outbreaks up to 1 March, in scenarios with and without the effect of the cordon sanitaire, we find no substantial differences in the cumulative number of infections generated. Furthermore, we found no evidence that the Chunyun travel period exacerbated the outbreak in these four cities.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- chinese city and city outbreak: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22
- chinese city and cordon sanitaire: 1
- chinese city and cumulative number: 1, 2
- chinese city and high incidence: 1, 2, 3
- chinese city and local transmission: 1
- chinese city and major chinese city: 1, 2, 3
- Chunyun travel period and cordon sanitaire: 1, 2, 3
- city outbreak and cumulative number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- city outbreak and local transmission: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- cordon sanitaire and cumulative number: 1
- cordon sanitaire and local transmission: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- cordon sanitaire effect and local transmission: 1, 2, 3, 4
- cordon sanitaire effect scenario and local transmission: 1
- cumulative number and high incidence: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- cumulative number and local transmission: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- high incidence and local transmission: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date