Selected article for: "epidemic growth and exponential curve"

Author: Archisman Mazumder; Mehak Arora; Vishwesh Bharadiya; Parul Berry; Mudit Agarwal; Mohak Gupta; Priyamadhaba Behera
Title: Study of Epidemiological Characteristics and In-silico Analysis of the Effect of Interventions in the SARS-CoV-2 Epidemic in India
  • Document date: 2020_4_7
  • ID: jmsg9d52_44
    Snippet: The increase in β can be attributed to two possibilities: the Nizamuddin super cluster and change in the testing strategy. As on 4 th April,2020, 1023 COVID-19 positive cases across 17 states in India can be traced to the Tablighi Jamaat congregation in Nizamuddin (38) . Additionally, ICMR recently updated the testing strategy which might have increased the detection of the positive cases significantly (39) . For now the epidemic is being report.....
    Document: The increase in β can be attributed to two possibilities: the Nizamuddin super cluster and change in the testing strategy. As on 4 th April,2020, 1023 COVID-19 positive cases across 17 states in India can be traced to the Tablighi Jamaat congregation in Nizamuddin (38) . Additionally, ICMR recently updated the testing strategy which might have increased the detection of the positive cases significantly (39) . For now the epidemic is being reported either in clusters or superclusters and community transmission is still in its infancy. If the disease leaks into the rural areas or urban slums, it will provide a big challenge to the health care delivery system which is not yet ready to combat the epidemic. India might as well enter the exponential phase of growth of the epidemic curve if stringent measures are not in place. Hence, strict social distancing, optimum testing and acceptance and awareness in Indian community are vital elements to control the COVID-19 epidemic in India.

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