Author: Knut M. Wittkowski
Title: The first three months of the COVID-19 epidemic: Epidemiological evidence for two separate strains of SARS-CoV-2 viruses spreading and implications for prevention strategies Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: 2ytec133_79
Snippet: Italy was hit a week after the first wave in Iran (which peaked around 03-07/08, Fig 4a) . Incidence in Italy reached a substantially higher incidence than reported in Iran. The peak incidence in Italy was reached on 03-22 (at about 100/M/d). Without sufficiently detailed genetic data, it is not clear whether the high lethality in Italy is due to genetic variations in the virus or to Italy having the second oldest populations in the world (after .....
Document: Italy was hit a week after the first wave in Iran (which peaked around 03-07/08, Fig 4a) . Incidence in Italy reached a substantially higher incidence than reported in Iran. The peak incidence in Italy was reached on 03-22 (at about 100/M/d). Without sufficiently detailed genetic data, it is not clear whether the high lethality in Italy is due to genetic variations in the virus or to Italy having the second oldest populations in the world (after Japan). A 03-20 report by the Istituto Superiore di Sanita, (COVID-19 Surveillance Group 2020) however, implicates that age and comorbidities played a roleamong 3200 deaths, mostly in Lombardy and Emilia-Romana, median age was 80 years (IQR 73-85, only were 36 below the age of 50), 98.8% had at least one comorbidity (hypertension: 74%, diabetes: 34%, ischemic heart disease: 30%, atrial fibrillation, 22%, chronic renal failure: 20%, …).
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