Author: Chen Wei; Zhengyang Wang; Zhichao Liang; Quanying Liu
Title: The focus and timing of COVID-19 pandemic control measures under healthcare resource constraints Document date: 2020_4_19
ID: 5psqro9d_6
Snippet: As shown in Figure 2A , the combined effect of increases in NPI and case isolation explained the successful outbreak suppression in Wuhan. Specifically, the transmission rate in Wuhan was estimated to have been reduced to 31.0% of pre-lockdown level 5 days after January 23, 2020 and approaching an asymptote of 27.3%. Furthermore, the daily proportion of symptomatic cases being isolated in medical facilities was estimated to have increased from a .....
Document: As shown in Figure 2A , the combined effect of increases in NPI and case isolation explained the successful outbreak suppression in Wuhan. Specifically, the transmission rate in Wuhan was estimated to have been reduced to 31.0% of pre-lockdown level 5 days after January 23, 2020 and approaching an asymptote of 27.3%. Furthermore, the daily proportion of symptomatic cases being isolated in medical facilities was estimated to have increased from a starting estimate of 0.017 on January 10, 2020 to 0.081 on January 28, 2020. The daily proportion of isolated cases being confirmed was estimated to have started at 0.092 and increased to 0.22 by January 28, 2020. The basic reproduction number, corresponding to the initial stage of the outbreak, was estimated to be 3.48.
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