Prevalence of Occupation Associated with Increased Mobility During COVID-19 Pandemic

Shacham, E.; Scroggins, S.; Ellis, M.

Abstract Purpose: Identifying geographic-level prevalence of occupations associated with mobility during local stay-at-home pandemic mandate. Methods: A spatio-temporal ecological framework was applied to determine census-tracts that had significantly higher rates of occupations likely to be deemed essential: food-service, business and finance, healthcare support, and maintenance. Real-time mobility data was used to determine the average daily percent of residents not leaving their place of residence. Spatial regression models were constructed for each occupation proportion among census-tracts within a large urban area. Results: After adjusting for demographics, results indicate census-tracts with higher proportion of food-service workers, healthcare support employees, and office administration staff are likely to have increased mobility. Conclusions: Increased mobility among communities is likely to exacerbate COVID-19 mitigation efforts. This increase in mobility was also found associated with specific demographics suggesting it may be occurring among underserved and vulnerable populations. We find that prevalence of essential employment presents itself as a candidate for driving inequity in morbidity and mortality of COVID-19.