Author: Knut M. Wittkowski
Title: The first three months of the COVID-19 epidemic: Epidemiological evidence for two separate strains of SARS-CoV-2 viruses spreading and implications for prevention strategies Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: 2ytec133_37
Snippet: The effect of reducing the reproduction number by reducing the number of contacts (lockdowns) depends on when it starts in the course of the epidemic. Fig 12 shows the effect of a one-month intervention cutting R0 in half starting at the point of the peak prevalence of infectious subjects. Compared to Fig 3, the duration of the epidemic is shortened, albeit at the price of reducing the R/S ratio, so that a subsequent epidemic with the same or a s.....
Document: The effect of reducing the reproduction number by reducing the number of contacts (lockdowns) depends on when it starts in the course of the epidemic. Fig 12 shows the effect of a one-month intervention cutting R0 in half starting at the point of the peak prevalence of infectious subjects. Compared to Fig 3, the duration of the epidemic is shortened, albeit at the price of reducing the R/S ratio, so that a subsequent epidemic with the same or a similar virus (cross-immunity) could start earlier. Oceania . CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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