Author: Knut M. Wittkowski
Title: The first three months of the COVID-19 epidemic: Epidemiological evidence for two separate strains of SARS-CoV-2 viruses spreading and implications for prevention strategies Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: 2ytec133_46
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10. 1101 It is herd immunity that stops the spread of an infectious disease, so, in general, one would want to let the epidemic initially run its natural course (or even accelerate it, as people have traditionally done with "measles parties") to build immunity as fast as possible. If the aim were to reduce the duration of the epidemic and its impact on t.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10. 1101 It is herd immunity that stops the spread of an infectious disease, so, in general, one would want to let the epidemic initially run its natural course (or even accelerate it, as people have traditionally done with "measles parties") to build immunity as fast as possible. If the aim were to reduce the duration of the epidemic and its impact on the economy (and also increase the time until the next epidemic can spread), one would wait until the prevalence of infectious people (I) reaches its peak (in the above model: day 83, red).
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