Author: Knut M. Wittkowski
Title: The first three months of the COVID-19 epidemic: Epidemiological evidence for two separate strains of SARS-CoV-2 viruses spreading and implications for prevention strategies Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: 2ytec133_55
Snippet: Germany ordered schools to be closed and various other restrictions on or before 03-16/17, depending on the state ( https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19-Pandemie_in_Deutschland#Ausgangsbeschr%C3%A4nkungen ) and a national curfew on 03-22. Taken together, "social distancing" started effectively several days before the 03-22 turning point, so that the epidemic is unlikely to reach herd immunity within the near future. Hence the epidemic will not .....
Document: Germany ordered schools to be closed and various other restrictions on or before 03-16/17, depending on the state ( https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19-Pandemie_in_Deutschland#Ausgangsbeschr%C3%A4nkungen ) and a national curfew on 03-22. Taken together, "social distancing" started effectively several days before the 03-22 turning point, so that the epidemic is unlikely to reach herd immunity within the near future. Hence the epidemic will not cease for several months, unless restrictions are removed, and, thus, may rebound in autumn (Fig 15) .
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