Selected article for: "baseline scenario and social distancing"
Author: Fabiana Ganem; Fabio Macedo Mendes; Silvano Barbosa Oliveira; Victor Bertolo Gomes Porto; Wildo Araujo; Helder Nakaya; Fredi A Diaz-Quijano; Julio Croda
Title: The impact of early social distancing at COVID-19 Outbreak in the largest Metropolitan Area of Brazil.
  • Document date: 2020_4_8
    • ID: 9bi6pobg_18
    Snippet: The baseline scenario shows that completely relaxing social distancing results in thousands of additional deaths. Figure 2 shows that the rate of fatalities per day increases dramatically when ICU capacity is overloaded. The simulation shows a swift change in the number of deaths per day in this scenario quickly spikes from 100, a week prior the system is overloaded, to a peak of 4,160 deaths per day in less than a month......
    Document: The baseline scenario shows that completely relaxing social distancing results in thousands of additional deaths. Figure 2 shows that the rate of fatalities per day increases dramatically when ICU capacity is overloaded. The simulation shows a swift change in the number of deaths per day in this scenario quickly spikes from 100, a week prior the system is overloaded, to a peak of 4,160 deaths per day in less than a month.

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