Selected article for: "calibration test and Hosmer Lemeshow calibration test"

Author: Asada, Reona; Nakatsuka, Yoshinari; Kanamaru, Hideki; Kawakita, Fumihiro; Fujimoto, Masashi; Miura, Yoichi; Shiba, Masato; Yasuda, Ryuta; Toma, Naoki; Suzuki, Hidenori
Title: Higher Plasma Osteopontin Concentrations Associated with Subsequent Development of Chronic Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage.
  • Cord-id: n3hi0nsf
  • Document date: 2021_1_9
  • ID: n3hi0nsf
    Snippet: A matricellular protein osteopontin (OPN) is considered to exert neuroprotective and healing effects on neurovascular injuries in an acute phase of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). However, the relationships between OPN expression and chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) have never been investigated. In 166 SAH patients (derivation and validation cohorts, 110 and 56, respectively), plasma OPN levels were serially measured at days1-3, 4-6, 7-9, and 10-12 after aneurysmal oblitera
    Document: A matricellular protein osteopontin (OPN) is considered to exert neuroprotective and healing effects on neurovascular injuries in an acute phase of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). However, the relationships between OPN expression and chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) have never been investigated. In 166 SAH patients (derivation and validation cohorts, 110 and 56, respectively), plasma OPN levels were serially measured at days1-3, 4-6, 7-9, and 10-12 after aneurysmal obliteration. The OPN levels and clinical factors were compared between patients with and without subsequent development of chronic SDHC. Plasma OPN levels in the SDHC patients increased from days 1-3 to days 4-6 and remained high thereafter, while those in the non-SDHC patients peaked at days 4-6 and then decreased over time. Plasma OPN levels had no correlation with serum levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), a systemic inflammatory marker. Univariate analyses showed that age, modified Fisher grade, acute hydrocephalus, cerebrospinal fluid drainage, and OPN and CRP levels at days 10-12 were significantly different between patients with and without SDHC. Multivariate analyses revealed that higher plasma OPN levels at days 10-12 were an independent factor associated with the development of SDHC, in addition to a more frequent use of cerebrospinal fluid drainage and higher modified Fisher grade at admission. Plasma OPN levels at days 10-12 maintained similar discrimination power in the validation cohort and had good calibration on the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Prolonged higher expression of OPN may contribute to the development of post-SAH SDHC, possibly by excessive repairing effects promoting fibrosis in the subarachnoid space.

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