Author: Willem G Odendaal
Title: Method for Active Pandemic Curve Management (MAPCM) Document date: 2020_4_13
ID: a6ldr0mn_99
Snippet: In the plots in Figure 12 it is assumed the incubation period is 5 days, the infection rate is 11%, and the fatality rate is 1%. These numbers are guesstimates, but can be replaced by reliable data. There are conflicting reports about fatality rates. While low tests number in combination with deaths as a percentage of confirmed cases result in a very low death percentage, it is not the case for percentage deaths among resolved cases, as discussed.....
Document: In the plots in Figure 12 it is assumed the incubation period is 5 days, the infection rate is 11%, and the fatality rate is 1%. These numbers are guesstimates, but can be replaced by reliable data. There are conflicting reports about fatality rates. While low tests number in combination with deaths as a percentage of confirmed cases result in a very low death percentage, it is not the case for percentage deaths among resolved cases, as discussed on page 9 the fatality rate among resolved cases is significantly higher.
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