Author: Sammy Zahran; Levi Altringer; Ashok Prasad
Title: The Longevity-Frailty Hypothesis: Evidence from COVID-19 Death Rates in Europe Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 9p0dsyqx_23
Snippet: Elderly longevity (or life expectancy at ≥ 65) is not only a sound correlate of European variation in the COVID-19 death rate but also a good predictor of the timing of the COVID-19 epidemic in a country. Timing is measured in terms of the first recorded COVID corresponding to the observed COVID-19 death rate (as of April 9th, 2020). Importantly, while these countries vary meaningfully in healthcare system capacity and in the timing and intensi.....
Document: Elderly longevity (or life expectancy at ≥ 65) is not only a sound correlate of European variation in the COVID-19 death rate but also a good predictor of the timing of the COVID-19 epidemic in a country. Timing is measured in terms of the first recorded COVID corresponding to the observed COVID-19 death rate (as of April 9th, 2020). Importantly, while these countries vary meaningfully in healthcare system capacity and in the timing and intensity of non-pharmaceutical interventions, the striking spatial variation in COVID-19 death rates across these countries appears statistically and intuitively explainable by elderly survival and consequent frailty.
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