Author: Nicholas G Davies; Adam J Kucharski; Rosalind M Eggo; Amy Gimma; W. John Edmunds
Title: The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: g0pxqqga_26
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.20049908 doi: medRxiv preprint case (i.e. high R 0 ), almost entirely eliminate the benefit of closing schools in terms of the number of deaths and peak ICU bed occupancy over this period ( Fig. 4b, Table S5 ). Fig. 4 . Impact of reducing leisure events and impact of increased childcare from older age groups. (a) Effect of banning spectator sports, and decreasing leisure .....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.20049908 doi: medRxiv preprint case (i.e. high R 0 ), almost entirely eliminate the benefit of closing schools in terms of the number of deaths and peak ICU bed occupancy over this period ( Fig. 4b, Table S5 ). Fig. 4 . Impact of reducing leisure events and impact of increased childcare from older age groups. (a) Effect of banning spectator sports, and decreasing leisure activities on the total cases, total deaths, and peak number of cases, ICU beds, non-ICU beds, and the time to peak week in the simulated epidemics. The "Background" to which these interventions are compared is school closures plus elderly shielding. (b) Effect of varying increases in contacts between children and older adults during school closures and effect on the total cases, total deaths, and peak number of cases, ICU beds, non-ICU beds, and the time to peak week in the simulated epidemics. The "Background" to which these interventions are compared is the "Intensive Interventions" of Table 2 , without any additional period of school closure.
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