Author: Nicholas G Davies; Adam J Kucharski; Rosalind M Eggo; Amy Gimma; W. John Edmunds
Title: The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: g0pxqqga_6
Snippet: We explored a variety of non-pharmaceutical interventions, which we assumed would impact the rate of contact between individuals as well as the relative infectiousness of symptomatic individuals. Contact matrices were constructed by summing home, work, school, and "other" contacts calculated from survey data [12] , with interventions altering the relative number of contacts of each type ( Table 2 ) . We simulated self-isolation of symptomatic ind.....
Document: We explored a variety of non-pharmaceutical interventions, which we assumed would impact the rate of contact between individuals as well as the relative infectiousness of symptomatic individuals. Contact matrices were constructed by summing home, work, school, and "other" contacts calculated from survey data [12] , with interventions altering the relative number of contacts of each type ( Table 2 ) . We simulated self-isolation of symptomatic individuals by decreasing their infectiousness by 35% during the intervention period. This was based on a calculation that approximately 70% of contacts occur outside the home; we assumed that these could be reduced by half for individuals under self-isolation, consistent with findings that accelerated case isolation in Shenzhen, China reduced transmission by 35% [13] . We included regular school closures for holidays in all models.
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