Author: Matteo Chinazzi; Jessica T. Davis; Marco Ajelli; Corrado Gioannini; Maria Litvinova; Stefano Merler; Ana Pastore y Piontti; Luca Rossi; Kaiyuan Sun; Cécile Viboud; Xinyue Xiong; Hongjie Yu; M. Elizabeth Halloran; Ira M. Longini; Alessandro Vespignani
Title: The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak Document date: 2020_2_11
ID: f87h5qh6_15
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.09.20021261 doi: medRxiv preprint relative reduction of 50% of the transmissibility (r = 0.5) along with travel restrictions does delay the epidemic growth in China that never surpasses the daily incidence of 1 case per 1,000 in Mainland China, and the number of imported cases at international destinations are always in the single digit r.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.09.20021261 doi: medRxiv preprint relative reduction of 50% of the transmissibility (r = 0.5) along with travel restrictions does delay the epidemic growth in China that never surpasses the daily incidence of 1 case per 1,000 in Mainland China, and the number of imported cases at international destinations are always in the single digit range. The effect of the transmissibility reduction is visible also on the short term epidemic curve in Mainland China as shown in Fig. 1 , with a drastic reduction of the growth of the number of cases by February 22, 2020 with respect to the status quo epidemic curve.
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