Selected article for: "arrival time and latent period"
Author: M. Pear Hossain; Alvin Junus; Xiaolin Zhu; Pengfei Jia; Tzai-Hung Wen; Dirk Pfeiffer; Hsiang-Yu Yuan
Title: The effects of border control and quarantine measures on global spread of COVID-19
  • Document date: 2020_3_17
    • ID: lwe7whmg_39
    Snippet: Considering the same R 0 setting but with incubation time 14 days, on day 28 the total number of secondary 213 cases raised to 1179.8 persons for all the top ten visiting cities in which Beijing contributes 180 persons in the 214 total secondary cases. Therefore, the longer latent period allowed 22% more secondary cases. The arrival time 215 of outbreak emergence were 14-18 days ( Figure 5A ), which were 2 days earlier than using 5.2 days latent .....
    Document: Considering the same R 0 setting but with incubation time 14 days, on day 28 the total number of secondary 213 cases raised to 1179.8 persons for all the top ten visiting cities in which Beijing contributes 180 persons in the 214 total secondary cases. Therefore, the longer latent period allowed 22% more secondary cases. The arrival time 215 of outbreak emergence were 14-18 days ( Figure 5A ), which were 2 days earlier than using 5.2 days latent 216 period. On day 18, all top ten cities except Shenyang have outbreak probability more than 50% ( Figure 5B ).

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