Author: Weiss, R. F.
Title: A logistic model of CoV-2 propagation Cord-id: tmm0e4dm Document date: 2020_7_26
ID: tmm0e4dm
Snippet: We describe an elemental logistic model for the propagation of CoV-2 in a community and illustrate the sensitivity of the model to key parameters such as R0, the initial rate of infections per infected person, and A0 , the fraction of infected people developing neutralizing antibodies. We demonstrate the importance of the duration of immunity in the population, the development of waves of new cases of infection, and the effect of premature opening of local economies.
Document: We describe an elemental logistic model for the propagation of CoV-2 in a community and illustrate the sensitivity of the model to key parameters such as R0, the initial rate of infections per infected person, and A0 , the fraction of infected people developing neutralizing antibodies. We demonstrate the importance of the duration of immunity in the population, the development of waves of new cases of infection, and the effect of premature opening of local economies.
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