Author: Julien Riou; Anthony Hauser; Michel J Counotte; Christian L Althaus
Title: Adjusted age-specific case fatality ratio during the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China, January and February 2020 Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: mrsya6wz_13
Snippet: In the model, after an average incubation period of 5.9 days [18] , 82.1% (95%CrI: 79.8-84.5) of infected people develop symptoms of any severity and become infectious, while the remainder are asymptomatic and do not transmit the infection. The proportion of symptomatic infections is derived from data from passengers of the "Diamond Princess" cruise ship, implemented as a beta distribution to propagate uncertainty [19] . These data did not provid.....
Document: In the model, after an average incubation period of 5.9 days [18] , 82.1% (95%CrI: 79.8-84.5) of infected people develop symptoms of any severity and become infectious, while the remainder are asymptomatic and do not transmit the infection. The proportion of symptomatic infections is derived from data from passengers of the "Diamond Princess" cruise ship, implemented as a beta distribution to propagate uncertainty [19] . These data did not provide conclusive evidence of an age trend in the proportion of true asymptomatics, so we assumed it to be constant across age groups [20] . The mean time from disease onset to isolation was fixed to 2.4 days [18] .
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