Author: Maryam Moghadami; Maryam Moghadami; Mohammad Hassanzadeh; ka wa; Aziz Hedayati; Mila Malekolkalami
Title: Modeling the Corona Virus Outbreak in IRAN Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: f3qeoyvf_30
Snippet: Two models have been tested with varying degrees of accuracy. The base model shown in Illustration 5 is the simple forecast model, without trend or seasonality built-in. It has the highest AIC out of the three models across the 5 sampled provinces, although it has a low MAPE, when compared to the other three statistical metrics like RMSE, MAE, MASE it yields the highest margin of error in the group......
Document: Two models have been tested with varying degrees of accuracy. The base model shown in Illustration 5 is the simple forecast model, without trend or seasonality built-in. It has the highest AIC out of the three models across the 5 sampled provinces, although it has a low MAPE, when compared to the other three statistical metrics like RMSE, MAE, MASE it yields the highest margin of error in the group.
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