Selected article for: "herd immunity and uncontrolled epidemic"
Author: Alex James; Shaun C Hendy; Michael J Plank; Nicholas Steyn
Title: Suppression and Mitigation Strategies for Control of COVID-19 in New Zealand
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: gc5ieskk_21
    Snippet: Suppression strategies aim to keep the number infections to a minimum for as long as possible, by early instigation of control measures. This alone cannot prevent an epidemic from taking place indefinitely because there is no acquisition of herd immunity. Once control is lifted, a serious outbreak is likely to take place. If control measures are lifted altogether, the eventual outbreak could be as serious as a completely uncontrolled epidemic, le.....
    Document: Suppression strategies aim to keep the number infections to a minimum for as long as possible, by early instigation of control measures. This alone cannot prevent an epidemic from taking place indefinitely because there is no acquisition of herd immunity. Once control is lifted, a serious outbreak is likely to take place. If control measures are lifted altogether, the eventual outbreak could be as serious as a completely uncontrolled epidemic, leading to population-wide mortality rates of around 2%. This mortality rate could be even higher if severe cases that cannot be treated because of hospital overload experience a significantly higher CFR.

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