Author: Giovani L. Vasconcelos; Antônio M. S. Macêdo; Raydonal Ospina; Francisco A. G. Almeida; Gerson C. Duarte-Filho; Inês C. L. Souza
Title: Modelling fatality curves of COVID-19 and the effectiveness of intervention strategies Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 35b3efom_33
Snippet: Notwithstanding the above considerations, we observed that with the available data to date the GRM also provides good fits for several other countries, such as Spain and Iran, and less so for others, such as Germany. In the case of Spain and Iran, see Figs. 2(a) and 2(b), the last data point is sufficiently beyond the inflection point t c predicted by the model to lend some credibility to the model predictions. In contradistinction, in the case o.....
Document: Notwithstanding the above considerations, we observed that with the available data to date the GRM also provides good fits for several other countries, such as Spain and Iran, and less so for others, such as Germany. In the case of Spain and Iran, see Figs. 2(a) and 2(b), the last data point is sufficiently beyond the inflection point t c predicted by the model to lend some credibility to the model predictions. In contradistinction, in the case of Germany, see Fig. 2 (c), t c is slightly past the last data point, which makes the model predictions less reliable.
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