Author: Manuel Adrian Acuna-Zegarra; Andreu Comas-Garcia; Esteban Hernandez-Vargas; Mario Santana-Cibrian; Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez
Title: The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic outbreak: a review of plausible scenarios of containment and mitigation for Mexico Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: aiq6ejcq_86
Snippet: Let Y j , for j = 1, 2, ...n, be the number of observed cumulative cases at time t j , with t j given in days. We assume that Y j follows a Negative Binomial distribution with mean value C(t j |a, r, K) and dispersion parameter α. Here, C(t j |a, r, K) 1 is the solution of Richards model presented in (1) . Assuming that, given the parameters, the observations Y 1 , Y 2 , . . . , Y n are conditionally independent, then.....
Document: Let Y j , for j = 1, 2, ...n, be the number of observed cumulative cases at time t j , with t j given in days. We assume that Y j follows a Negative Binomial distribution with mean value C(t j |a, r, K) and dispersion parameter α. Here, C(t j |a, r, K) 1 is the solution of Richards model presented in (1) . Assuming that, given the parameters, the observations Y 1 , Y 2 , . . . , Y n are conditionally independent, then
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