Selected article for: "active number and total number"

Author: Claudia Rivera-Rodriguez; Beatriz Piedad Urdinola
Title: Modelling strategies to predict hospital demand during the COVID-19 outbreak in Bogotá, Colombia
  • Document date: 2020_4_18
  • ID: 6qfryfnt_2
    Snippet: As of April 04, 2020, Colombia has only carried out 460 test per million people (https://infogram.com/, https://ourworldindata.org/covid-testing), not have the testing facilities or production of biotechnology inputs to run the necessary number of tests required to detect all active cases of the virus. Additionally, on March 26 one of the two available machines used to run the detection tests broke, leading to a reduction on its production and ca.....
    Document: As of April 04, 2020, Colombia has only carried out 460 test per million people (https://infogram.com/, https://ourworldindata.org/covid-testing), not have the testing facilities or production of biotechnology inputs to run the necessary number of tests required to detect all active cases of the virus. Additionally, on March 26 one of the two available machines used to run the detection tests broke, leading to a reduction on its production and causing delays in the total number of cases detected. One of the biggest concerns is that the data may 30 not inform well how many hospital beds (and ICU beds) will be needed during the outbreak peak. In fact, one of the main caveats for this study is that the official data is very likely to be under estimated as only patients with at least one symptom or that have had contact with another detected case have been tested [1]. Moreover, we are assuming an overall probability of requiring ICU 35 treatment, while sex, age and co-morbidity (diabetes, hypertension, acute respiratory diseases and depressed immune system) will highly determine differential probabilities, that we are not taken into account.

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