Author: Renato Machado Cotta; Carolina Palma Naveira-Cotta; pierre magal
Title: Modelling the COVID-19 epidemics in Brasil: Parametric identification and public health measures influence Document date: 2020_4_3
ID: 3rmrkzuq_6
Snippet: Upon validation of the approach through the data for China, we have proceeded to the analysis of the epidemic dynamics in Brasil, after about 35 days of collected information on reported infected individuals. First, the available data was employed in the parametric estimation, followed by the prediction of the epidemy evolution in Brasil. Then, we have explored the time variation of both the transmission rate and the fraction of asymptomatic infe.....
Document: Upon validation of the approach through the data for China, we have proceeded to the analysis of the epidemic dynamics in Brasil, after about 35 days of collected information on reported infected individuals. First, the available data was employed in the parametric estimation, followed by the prediction of the epidemy evolution in Brasil. Then, we have explored the time variation of both the transmission rate and the fraction of asymptomatic infectious that become reported symptomatic individuals, so as to reflect public health interventions, in simulating possible government measures, as described in what follows.
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