Susceptibility and Sustainability of India against CoVid19: a multivariate approach

Soumi Ray; Mitu Roy

CoVid19 has many similarities with these 1918 flu and 2003 SARS. All are viral and contagious infections, epidemic in nature, turning into pandemic within few weeks, transmitted through droplets and very easily transmissible from human to human. It is also suspected that coronavirus can be transmitted through air and it can survive in environment without any decrease in its efficiency for a long time and thus the chance of infection increases [13] . If coronavirus is transmissible and airborne, this is an alarming situation for India. Normally during season change, Indians suffer from different common ailments like cold and cough, nasal congestion, conjunctivitis etc. Many of these diseases are infectious and transmissible. A large part of the population suffers from one or more of these issues commonly. Along with those common epidemics, CoVid19 has to be taken care of. Due to nor'westers during March/April the chances of fast spreading of CoVid19 is also high. Many people are already infected, among which all are not having significant symptoms and hence not identified. Finding ways to stop community transmission, case identification at initial stage and controlling the death rate is an emergency. Even the cure will not be easy to save the world if the infection is not prevented. Faster and easier worldwide transportation system has turned into a curse in case of viral epidemics. Due to international travels, almost all the countries in the world have got infected by this transmissible virus within a very short duration simultaneously. CoVid19 has affected 209 Countries and Territories around the world as of 8th April 2020. From the information of the impact of 1918 pandemic in India, we have tried to understand the underlying facts. A large population who lived near and below poverty line got affected by the 1918 pandemic [14] . Apparently, it seems that, the sanitation had a significant relation with the disease infection, spread and severity. But the high mortality rate in case of CoVid19 even in developed countries raises a question on this easy assumption. Light from a different angle may have some answer to it.